JLP platinum player

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londonz
Posts: 658
Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2012 4:22 pm

JLP platinum player

Post by londonz »

broker target 87p (current sp 12p) but this broker note is outdated. so potentially will be revised much higher.

http://www.jubileeplatinum.com/investor ... c_year.pdf

aiming to be the top 5 largest platinum producer.
londonz
Posts: 658
Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2012 4:22 pm

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by londonz »

check RNS today. financing confirmed (to be ring-fenced againts the project) so thats in an excellent news.
londonz
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Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2012 4:22 pm

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by londonz »

JLP is aiming to be the 5th largest platinum producer in the world.

this is link for the top 4:
http://uk.mobile.reuters.com/article/id ... 6?irpc=932

1. ANGLO PLATINUM
2. IMPALA PLATINUM
3. LONMIN
4. NORILSK NICKEL

each one above has market cap worth billions. so you can see the potential JLP could be as its approaching its target of 5th world producer.
londonz
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Re: JLP platinum player

Post by londonz »

"platinum miners the most attractive prospects for investors this year"

http://www.bdlive.co.za/business/financ ... -this-year

RE:CM punts platinum stocks for this year
by Staff Writer, January 30 2013, 09:32 | 0 Comment(s)

THE value-based asset manager RE:CM sees platinum miners, construction and gaming stocks as the most attractive prospects for investors this year.

"Generally speaking, our fund mandates across the board have lowered their exposures to defensives and increased exposures to cyclicals, especially in the platinum sector," RE:CM investment director Daniel Malan said.

Examples of cyclical stocks are mining shares, whose prices tend to rise and fall with the economy, while defensives include food companies and utilities providing staples that get bought irrespective of how tough the economy gets.

Following years of relative and absolute price and business underperformance in both the construction and gaming sectors, RE:CM’s research showed that there is now good value in the gaming sector and the first signs of an emergence of value in the construction sector.

Mr Malan said that investors should however steer clear of luxury goods stocks from a global perspective and retail businesses in South Africa.

"While local retailers are fantastic businesses, they do not present an attractive value proposition for investors when compared with their global counterparts.

"Outside of equities, our work shows that bonds and listed property counters are not currently showing much value for investors," Mr Malan said.

Some of the key stocks RE:CM hold as part of their "best ideas" fund — the Global Flexible Fund — include Carrefour, Anglo Platinum, Microsoft, BP and Intel.

Mr Malan said that from a global perspective, RE:CM is interested in policy development in Japan, and economic developments in Western Europe.
londonz
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Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2012 4:22 pm

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by londonz »

copied from iii

///
JLP already has several institutional investors base/fund managers, which are great. as they will usually increase their holding as soon as progress can be made by JLP. so i suspect now they are just watching.

attached is the current holdings. or you can check out JLP website. as you can see they are very chunky holdings there.

http://www.ge.tt/2QGHmwW/v/0?c
londonz
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Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2012 4:22 pm

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by londonz »

excellent interview of JLP

http://www.summit.co.za/current-show/fa ... 218.html#2

- merger will enable to start production within 3 mths!!
- the mine is "surface mine" which means easy and cheap to mine and produce (not like normal underground mine)
- debt of PLA will be ring-fenced to the project
- aiming to be 5th largest platinum producer
- also producing electricity which in itself generate cash
londonz
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Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2012 4:22 pm

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by londonz »

JLP has several mines (check broker report for details/JLP website,rpt) and also generating and selling electricity

expected news (on top of my head - so i may miss some of them)
- merger confirmation
- electrity revenue updates
- commencing/reopening of Smokey Hills mine
- ramping up of production at the other mine
- update on mining right for the Tjate Platinum Project (the largest project for JLP)
- update on dscussions around our memorandum of understanding with Northam

*********************

from latest financial rpt
- we have acquired the PGM processing rights to a large surface tailings dam, advanced our smelter division to profitability and applied for a mining right for the Tjate Platinum Project. Discussions around our memorandum of understanding with Northam continue and numerous surface material and dump opportunities are being presented and evaluated.

ConRoast technology unlocks most of these advantages since our ability to handle PGM concentrates with high chrome makes us unique in the industry. Similarly, we do not employ a large workforce thereby reducing our risk to complex labour management issues and potential strikes.


*********************

Highlights of the Proposed Transaction (RNS 14 Dec)

· The merger will create a large Anglo-Australian-South African platinum mining group with the potential to be a significant producer within the top 5 platinum producers in the World.

· Jubilee's announced agreement with PLA to use PLA's Smokey Hills Mine concentrator agreement accelerates the processing of Dilokong tailings by some 14 months to commence during the first half of 2013. (per RNS 21 Nov: ... In acquiring access to this facility Jubilee has eliminated the requirement for significant new capital)

· The reopening of the Smokey Hills Mine which is fully capitalised and ready for production would provide the combined group with annualised production of 70,000 oz per annum of platinum group metals. It is expected that the mine would be brought into production during the second half of 2013.

. The PGE concentrate produced at the Smokey Hills Concentrator (the "Concentrator") will be Jubilee's first own PGE concentrate feed for processing using its unique ConRoast process. (per RNS 21 Nov)


· The combined group would have access to the ConRoast process for its future concentrate production.


· With the exception of Tjate all of the projects are near term with relatively low capital requirements. It is intended that the combined group grows its earnings profile from cash generated by its own operations.


· PLA holds the rights to the Rooderand Platinum project in the western limb of the Bushveld complex which fits the production model and compliments Smokey Hills Mine.



********************************



selling electricity - check RNS 10 Jan 2013

· The PPA's Contracted Power Value ("CPV") has been increased to ZAR 50.1 million per year (approximately GBP4 million) from ZAR 12.2 million (GBP870,000) for the initial trial period


· An option has been granted to Power Alt to increase the Contracted Power Capacity ("CPC") to 10MW from 5.1 MW, which equates to an increase in the projected CPV to more than ZAR 98 million per year (approximately GBP7 million)
londonz
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Re: JLP platinum player

Post by londonz »

Smokey Hills profit:
http://www.platinumaus.com.au/viewStory ... ls+Project

production (a couple of mths after merger!!) - 70,000 oz per annum

" The reopening of the Smokey Hills Mine which is fully capitalised and ready for production would provide the combined group with annualised production of 70,000 oz per annum of platinum group metals."


so, every year:
price = 1117per oz
operating cost = 226 per oz
cash profit = 891 per oz,
cash profit per year = 891 x 70,000 = $62,370,000

capital cost = 40+14m = $54m (one off, only for the first year to build plants/machineries/equipments etc)

so, net profit after debt in year 1 = $62.4 - 54m = $8.4m
net profit after debt in year 2 onwards = $62.4 -0m = $62.4 (for simplicity, debt is assumed to be paid all in year 1, which in reality will be paid in installment every year)

so, for 7 years life:
net profit after debt = 8.4m + (62.4x6 years) = $383m

as you can see, my calculation above generates total profit (after debt!!) for those 7 years totalling USD 383m, which is close to their calculation of 396m.

so, for USD 396m (per website), its actually net profit after debt of on average 396/7 = $57m per year and huge IRR of 672%

so, net profit after debt of USD 396m is about GBP 252m which is much much higher then the current market cap of PLA of GBP 23m!!
londonz
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Re: JLP platinum player

Post by londonz »

merger will also allow Dilokong tailings owned by JLP to commence production this year.

using the same calculation for smokey hill above (for simplicity, assuming all associated cost and profits are the same)

http://www.jubileeplatinum.com/our-busi ... rome-reefs

production per year initially at 15,000 per year, reaching to 50,000 oz per year PGE.

total oz estimated to be 800,000, but i am going to assume production of 50,000 for 10 years, is total production of 500,000 oz

so, assuming same profit per smokey hill,
profit = 500,000 x 891 per oz = USD 445.5m
minus capex of 54m (per smokey hill) = 445.5-54 = $391.5m

so, total net profit after debt of USD 391.5m after 10 years, which means, per year profit to be generated of about USD 39m

so, net profit after debt of USD 391.5m, around GBP 249m versus current market shares of JLP of GBP 38m
londonz
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Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2012 4:22 pm

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by londonz »

total "smokey hill" + "Dilokong tailings" profits after debt
= GBP 252m + 249m = GBP 501m

and compare this to the current market cap of JLP + PLA = 38+23 = GBP 61m

hence thats why JLP BOD were targeting to be the 5th largest producer of platinum, as the merger will help to unlock the potential of these two mines within this year. with smokey hill mine is fully capitalised and ready for production, and PLA has equipments which will be used for Dilokong tailings processing.

not to mention both companies also have other much bigger mines. but these two "smokey hill" + "Dilokong tailings" will be near term POSITIVE cashflow generator.

--------------

Highlights of the Proposed Transaction

-The merger will create a large Anglo-Australian-South African platinum mining group with the potential to be a significant producer within the top 5 platinum producers in the World.

-Jubilee's announced agreement with PLA to use PLA's Smokey Hills Mine concentrator agreement accelerates the processing of Dilokong tailings by some 14 months to commence during the first half of 2013.

-The reopening of the Smokey Hills Mine which is fully capitalised and ready for production would provide the combined group with annualised production of 70,000 oz per annum of platinum group metals. It is expected that the mine would be brought into production during the second half of 2013.

-The combined group would have access to the ConRoast process for its future concentrate production.

-With the exception of Tjate all of the projects are near term with relatively low capital requirements. It is intended that the combined group grows its earnings profile from cash generated by its own operations.

-PLA holds the rights to the Rooderand Platinum project in the western limb of the Bushveld complex which fits the production model and compliments Smokey Hills Mine.
konglo
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Re: JLP platinum player

Post by konglo »

ollowing years of relative and absolute price and business underperformance in both the construction and gaming sec
TONY THE TIGER
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Re: JLP platinum player

Post by TONY THE TIGER »

Those ollowing years mustve been a nightmare for you.. Did you buy one of those shitty kitchens?
inforapound
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Re: JLP platinum player

Post by inforapound »

londonz wrote:
> broker target 87p (current sp 12p) but this broker note is outdated. so
> potentially will be revised much higher.
>
>
> http://www.jubileeplatinum.com/investor ... c_year.pdf
>
> aiming to be the top 5 largest platinum producer.

16p now not a bad punt since
warloros
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Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

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warloros
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Re: JLP platinum player

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Re: JLP platinum player

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warloros
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Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

warloros
Posts: 273263
Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

warloros
Posts: 273263
Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

warloros
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Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

warloros
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Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

warloros
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Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

warloros
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Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

warloros
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Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

warloros
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Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

warloros
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Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

warloros
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Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

warloros
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Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

warloros
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Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

warloros
Posts: 273263
Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

Post by warloros »

warloros
Posts: 273263
Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2021 4:19 am

Re: JLP platinum player

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