BZM (bellzone mining)

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londonz
Posts: 658
Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2012 4:22 pm

BZM (bellzone mining)

Post by londonz »

this is another mining, about to make the move. was the bottom yesterday and slowly moving up.

expecting RNS of shipment soon with China International Fund Limited ('CIF') holding large stake in this recently bought more at 17p.

could be multibag from here as Jan 12 was 30p and previously around 95p !! this share usually starting to move north in dec !!
londonz
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Re: BZM (bellzone mining)

Post by londonz »

RNS out - another resource upgrade.

the main RNS expecting will be this month as confirmed in today RNS re first shipment!!

http://www.iii.co.uk/investment/detail/ ... id=8821083

rerating overdue :)

Glenn Baldwin concluded that "this game-changing news for Kalia should not overshadow the significance of the impending shipment of first iron ore out of Guinea since 1966 that will happen this month despite some commissioning issues with the floating transhipment system, which has pushed shipment into late December.
londonz
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Re: BZM (bellzone mining)

Post by londonz »

and from iii

---------------

well, per edison report last year, when BZM at 40p, it was apparently cheapest entry and second cheapest of its West African peers. not sure what to say when BZM now only 14p and we have made much more progress!!

http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch.co. ... 18&ID=5477

Valuation: Cheapest resources and about to produce
Compared to its closest peer, African Minerals, Bellzone trades at a significant
discount despite both companies having potentially similar assets. The NPV10 of
Bellzone’s first stage at the Kalia Mine project is US$4.7bn, compared to the
US$5.7bn we calculate for African Mineral’s first phase at Tonkolili; despite this,
Bellzone’s enterprise value is 92.8% less than that of African Minerals. At the current
share price, the market appears to be pricing in just the value of Forécariah where we
calculate an attributable NPV10 of US$0.4bn. On an attributable JORC resource
basis, Bellzone is also the second cheapest of its West African peers.
londonz
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Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2012 4:22 pm

Re: BZM (bellzone mining)

Post by londonz »

shipment in the press.

http://www.guineedirect.info/index.php? ... 93olitique


CONAKRY, 26 December 2012-, according to an official source, the first ship exporting iron of Guinea since the country's independence, today left the site of Yomboyeli (Forécariah) where the joint venture China International Fund (CIF) Bellezone operates an iron mine. The departure of the boat is passed as an important Government delegation and representatives of Bellzone and CIF.
londonz
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Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2012 4:22 pm

Re: BZM (bellzone mining)

Post by londonz »

resource update will come anytime now

--------------------------------
..... Company expects to be in a position to release the statement to the market by mid-January, 2013....

check last RNS
londonz
Posts: 658
Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2012 4:22 pm

Re: BZM (bellzone mining)

Post by londonz »

copied from LSE:

----------------
As of 01 Jan 2011 they had 537,124,485 shares in issue (SP was 90p)

On the 8 March 2011, Shares issued on exercise of warrants at 50 pence per share (3,200,000)

On the 14 March 2011, Shares issued to CIF at 80 pence per share (79,000,000)

21 March 2011, they had a Share placing at 80p with ii (102,000,000) which brought the total shares in Issue to 721,324,485 at of (21 March 2011).

So to recap:

March 2011 BZM had 721m shares in issue with an SP of 80p

As of today Jan 2013 BZM have 730m shares in issue with SP of 17p

BZM currently have lost 4.5 times its MC (sp) in two years, howevere have made massive progress...

DYOR ;-)

Bel
londonz
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Re: BZM (bellzone mining)

Post by londonz »

no idea whether chinese will buy and takeover BZM but they seem to be increasing their stake and now own around 25% of BZM

posted in iii:
-------------

http://www.ge.tt/1Wx2z1W/v/0?c

around 70% held by institutions. so, not much around for people to buy. will move fast with good news imho
londonz
Posts: 658
Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2012 4:22 pm

Re: BZM (bellzone mining) - min 60p

Post by londonz »

interesting calculation/analysis in iii:

http://www.iii.co.uk/investment/detail/ ... d=10342636


below is my raw analysis of BZM, so if any errors please let me know. and feel free to add more info.

------------------------------

It seems that amongst iron ore miners, BZM is one where its not really popular amongst PIs.

Perhaps because not many really understand what assets BZM has.

After reading RNSs and website, BZM is indeed so undervalued as although its market cap now is around 120m, BZM actually has huge iron ore

deposits while at the same time, already producing in Forecariah mine with JV with the chinese/CIF.


Resource:
Market discounted hugely the resource of BZM. BZM so far has JORC resource of more than 6.5billion tonnes (not only "inferred" but also

including "measured" and "indicated" which are much better resources)(
http://www.bellzone.com/projects/kalia)
Kalia mine alone has 6.16 billion tonnes JORC resource, has NPV of USD 5.5b and IRR 57%.


for rough comparison, BAO has much less than 1 billion tonne JORC and has market cap of GBP 64m


so, BZM with 6.5billion tonne (ie 6.5 times more resource than BAO) should be at least GBP64x6.5 = GBP 416m market cap (ie BZM sp should be around 60p). Not to mention that

BZM already producing in Forecariah mine, so technically the valuation will be even higher than that.

YET, currently BZM market cap only 124m !!



AND in 2011 when market cap of BZM was 576m (sp 80p) the resources at that time was only around 3.7billion (page 3 of


http://www.bellzone.com/images/download ... r-2012.pdf)

YET, currently BZM already have 6.5billion JORC and market cap of only 124m (17p) ??



its so undervalued that even BOD had no choice but to do buyback as per their statement below:

per interim report:
The Company undertook a limited share buyback during the period to demonstrate its belief in the business since the Board does not believe

the current share price reflects the value of the Company’s assets.


http://www.bellzone.com/images/download ... e-2012.pdf


so, with the iron ore price increasing and interests of investors coming back to iron ore market (at least), the continuous newsflow (with

Forecariah Jorc due anytime now) will soon attract more investors and realised that BZM is overdue for rerating very soon.

----------------


newsflow (on top of my head):
- mid jan Forecariah Jorc update
- Q1 2013 Kalia JORC update
- Kalia feasibility review
- potential further JV re Kalia

more newsflow can also be found here:

http://www.bellzone.com/images/download ... r-2012.pdf



----------------


http://www.ge.tt/1Wx2z1W/v/0?c

around 70% held by top 5 shareholders
londonz
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Re: BZM (bellzone mining)

Post by londonz »

from advfn: posted by DT--- Courtesy of fingers

[attachment=2]BZM3.gif[/attachment]
londonz
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Re: BZM (bellzone mining)

Post by londonz »

broker target 100p to 300p (current sp 16p). have 6.5 billion JORC iron ore.

edison comment was "Cheapest resources and about to produce" and this was when market cap of BZM of GBP 292m (current mc GBP 120m) and before Kalia resource upgrade late last year

SOCIETIE GENERALE
http://www.bellzone.com/images/download ... ion-SG.pdf

Edison
http://www.bellzone.com/images/download ... utlook.pdf

Canaccord (500p !!)
http://www.bellzone.com/images/download ... -Price.pdf
User avatar
hoopoe1
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Re: BZM (bellzone mining)

Post by hoopoe1 »

Londonz - just thought I would post a note of appreciation for you notes. I am a BZM investor, but only since the end of last year at about 13p. I feel for those that have been in a long time, but I know how that feels. The more I look the more I like here, but find it strange that the recovery has not been as quick as with some other stocks. The sp seems to defy logic at times, but with this steady progress we do seem to be retaining investors.
All the best.
londonz
Posts: 658
Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2012 4:22 pm

Re: BZM (bellzone mining)

Post by londonz »

just posted today..

BZM now making progress with their PR efforts... at last !!

http://www.bellzone.com/images/download ... iefing.pdf
londonz
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Re: BZM (bellzone mining)

Post by londonz »

thanks hoopoe1

wish more could be postings rather than me... i just highlighting several companies which in my opinion are very undervalued and have huge potential very soon.. BZM is definitely one of them
hasondea
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Re: BZM (bellzone mining)

Post by hasondea »

share price, the market appears to be pricing in just the value of Forécariah where we
warloros
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Re: BZM (bellzone mining)

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Re: BZM (bellzone mining)

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